Welcome to the Spring 2020 Finance Shop Wealth Management (FSWM) Quarterly Review.
The Finance Shop Quarterly Review provides clients in our Advisory Portfolio Management (APM) service a review of the financial world over the last three months, and how this may have affected their pension or investment. If you would like to read more about this service, please Click Here.
A key part of the reporting is the colour coding. Each FSWM portfolio is colour coded to enable you to spot which category applies to you. The relevant information is then presented in a clear and easy to understand way. However, if you require any further clarification, please do not hesitate to get in touch.
MARKET OVERVIEW - QUARTER ONE 2020
The first quarter saw an unprecedented period for stock markets and our wider way of life as the Coronavirus swept across the world, impacting on almost every facet of investments. What appeared initially to be a Chinese issue, has spread at an alarming rate and led to lockdowns in much of the world. Social distancing, booking slots to buy food and home working have become the norm as governments have ordered the shutdown of pubs, restaurants and businesses and ordered travel to be restricted to essential journeys only.
This backdrop has not been a good one for stock markets, with many equity markets falling by more than 25% year to date and volatility (the measure of day to day movements in markets) hit an all-time high. The speed and depth of the falls led to almost all asset classes falling over the period as the pandemic caused wider concerns, leading to indiscriminate selling with even safe havens such as gold suffering high levels of volatility.
On a more positive note the speed and size of support from both governments and central banks has been exceptional, and this should provide the safety net which prevents widescale job losses and corporate insolvencies. This should allow the wider recovery of the economy to happen more quickly than in previous recessions, which may see a bounce in risk assets later in the year. In the shorter term, however, markets will undoubtably remain volatile as their direction is driven by the data relating to the spread of the virus.
FSWM PORTFOLIOS - QUARTER ONE 2020 PERFORMANCE
The graphs below show how the FSWM portfolios within the four Finance Shop risk categories have behaved over the last three months. The first graph shows the total return for the quarter whereas the second graph illustrates the “month by month” performance. The performance figures are aggregated so, for example, the green bar is made up of all the FSWM Multi-Asset Balanced portfolios across all product types. If you require specific performance figures for your plan, please contact your adviser.
PERFORMANCE REVIEW
Performance of the portfolios was negative across all mandates over the quarter, with our Cautious portfolios producing the best results as the greater exposure to lower risk strategies proved beneficial. Elsewhere there was little to choose between the portfolios, which demonstrated the high degree of correlation between many of the asset classes. However, despite this, a number of holdings held up well, notably Fortem Alternative Growth (+4%) and Garraway Financial Trends (+6%) which both delivered excellent returns over the quarter.
FSWM PORTFOLIOS - ASSET ALLOCATION
There are six portfolios in the FSWM range, four growth and two income which are detailed below. Your FSWM pension or investment will be invested in one of these categories. The tables show the aggregate composition of the portfolios with some figures to show the potential risk and return of each category.
Growth Portfolios
Income Portfolios
There are two income portfolios which aim to produce an income within a target range as highlighted in the table below. The two portfolios cover the Cautious and Balanced Finance Shop risk categories.
FSWM PORTFOLIOS - LONGER TERM PERFORMANCE
The first graph below shows how the FSWM portfolios have performed over 12 months. For comparison, the returns of cash (MoneyFacts 90 days notice 10K) and inflation (UK Consumer Price Index) are also shown. As with the Quarter One 2020 Performance graphs, the figures for each category are aggregated.
The second graph illustrates how the portfolios have performed since launch (1st November 2008).
FSWM FUND REVIEW POLICY
A key part of the FSWM service is to monitor the underlying performance of each fund within the portfolios for both risk and return. We have selected quality funds with strong track records and therefore do not envisage a high turnover of holdings. However, there will be occasions when the performance of an individual fund will lead to its expulsion from the portfolio(s). There are a number of factors that determine this decision, for example consistent under-performance, change of management team etc. It is also important, however, to have patience with a fund that is just suffering short-term under-performance.
We operate a “traffic light” system and will move a fund from a “green” to “amber” rating if the fund requires closer scrutiny at the next review. If a fund shows sufficient improvement, it will move back to “green”. If the fund consistently under-performs without good reason its status will change to “red” and the fund will be removed from the portfolio(s). A replacement fund will be selected and all clients holding the fund within their portfolio will be notified. Upon receipt of their authority, the client’s funds will be switched accordingly.
RESULTS OF FUND & ASSET ALLOCATION REVIEW
The Investment Committee meets on a quarterly basis and one of its primary functions is to review our existing fund range. Within this meeting we scrutinise any funds which we feel are performing significantly differently to their peer group or benchmark, with a number then run against our internal performance and risk measurements.
There were several changes to the funds under review, with a number of funds added including AHFM Total Return and Sarasin Food and Agriculture. The full list of funds under review is as follows:
• AHFM Total Return
• BNY Mellon Asian Income
• BNY Mellon Global Income
• Invesco Asian
• JP Morgan US Equity Income
• M&G Global Macro Bond
• M&G North American Dividend
• Sarasin Food and Agriculture
• Schroder Asian Income Maximiser
• Schroder Global Income
• Schroder Income
• Schroder Income Maximiser
ASSET ALLOCATION TABLES - IMPORTANT INFORMATION
The maximum quarterly gain and loss figures in the asset allocation tables above are taken from Financial Express based on the last 45 quarters of the longest running FSWM portfolios (up to February 2020). For the income portfolios, the figures are based on 26 quarters.
FE Risk Score: Financial Express have introduced FE Risk Scores to provide a single, easy to understand measure of risk across a range of investments. In the UK, Risk Scores measure the riskiness of any given investment in relation to the FTSE 100. Weekly volatility is measured over up to 3 years, with recent behaviour counting more heavily than earlier behaviour. The Risk Score is calculated weekly, and can be tracked over time. Cash type investments will have scores near zero, investment funds will tend to have scores in the 0 - 150 range.
The FTSE 100 is always 100. There is no upper limit to the scores.
The asset allocation figures are aggregated based on the current holdings within the FSWM portfolios for a new investor as at 3rd February 2020. They will vary on a daily basis subject to market fluctuations. Rebalancing will be recommended if equity content exceeds the benchmark maximums. There is no guarantee that any of the model portfolios above will achieve their stated objectives. Each model portfolio may also experience more or less volatility than expected. The value of investments will fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide to future performance. The Finance Shop Risk Categories are graded from 1 to 7. The above portfolios cover categories 3 to 6. For further information on all categories, please speak to your Finance Shop Independent Financial Adviser.
ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT INFORMATION
This report has been issued by the Investment Committee of the Finance Shop Wealth Management team using data provided by Financial Express. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct but Financial Express and Finance Shop neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of the information, nor does Financial Express or Finance Shop accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein.
Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Currency fluctuations can also affect fund values. The above report does not constitute advice and you should speak to your Independent Financial Adviser before you make any alterations to investments or pension plans.
The instruments recorded above are weighted model portfolios created using Financial Express Analytics. Performance figures shown are based on the weighted models and may differ from the actual returns achieved by investors. Performance figures shown are based on bid to bid gross returns and do not include plan, contract or ongoing adviser charges / commission. Please refer to your policy documentation for further details.
Financial Express Limited Registration number: 2405213. Registered office: 7 Chertsey Road, Woking, Surrey, GU21 5AB. Telephone 01483 783 900. Website www.financialexpress.net
Finance Shop is a trading name of Finance Shop Limited. Company Number 07535053. Registered in England. Registered Office: North Wood Place, Octagon Business Park, Little Plumstead, Norwich, Norfolk NR13 5FH.
Finance Shop is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
ABOUT FINANCE SHOP
Formed in 1990, Finance Shop has grown to become one of the region’s leading firms of Independent Financial Advisers.
As a locally owned, genuinely independent company, we pride ourselves on the quality of our advice and service to both personal and corporate clients. With over 150 years of financial services experience within the firm and over half a billion of assets under management, we have the expertise, experience and knowledge to be able to advise on all aspects of financial planning.
Our belief is that access to quality, independent advice is more important than ever and that is why we spend the majority of our time face to face with new and existing clients, explaining the key issues of today and helping them plan for the future.